Cibao FC vs Universidad O&M

21 Sep 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.8 pp

Cibao FC

Universidad O&M

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 61.5% DRAW 23.9% AWAY 14.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 58.8% 1.57 DRAW 25.0% 3.70 AWAY 16.3% 5.67

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Cibao FC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 61.5% win probability, compared with 58.8% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Cibao FC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Cibao FC Universidad O&M

Shots 13.8 · On target 5.8 Shots 9.0 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Cibao FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Cibao FC Universidad O&M

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 5.0

Cibao FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Cibao FC Universidad O&M

The combined recent performance profile favours Cibao FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Cibao FC = (0.0%)

Universidad O&M ↑ +0.06 (+1.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.