Caravaggio SC U20 vs Brusque U20

20 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE HOME +8.0 pp

Caravaggio SC U20

Brusque U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 62.4% DRAW 21.7% AWAY 15.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.4% 1.67 DRAW 24.2% 3.75 AWAY 21.4% 4.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Caravaggio SC U20 substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 62.4% win probability, compared with 54.4% implied by the market. The 8.0 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Caravaggio SC U20 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Caravaggio SC U20 Brusque U20

Shots 9.8 · On target 3.5 Shots 3.5 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours Caravaggio SC U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Caravaggio SC U20 Brusque U20

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 21.5 · On target allowed 9.8

Caravaggio SC U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Caravaggio SC U20 Brusque U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Caravaggio SC U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Caravaggio SC U20 ↓ -0.05 (-2.9%)

Brusque U20 ↑ +0.02 (+0.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.