Whitby vs Lancaster City

29 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Whitby

Lancaster City

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.3% DRAW 24.3% AWAY 42.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.6% 2.76 DRAW 25.0% 3.81 AWAY 40.4% 2.36

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Lancaster City

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Whitby Lancaster City

Shots 5.8 · On target 2.8 Shots 6.5 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Whitby Lancaster City

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 3.3

Lancaster City has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Whitby Lancaster City

The combined recent performance profile favours Lancaster City.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Whitby ↑ +0.16 (+6.1%)

Lancaster City ↓ -0.02 (-0.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.