Ilkeston vs Warrington Rylands

29 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.3 pp

Ilkeston

Warrington Rylands

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.3% DRAW 23.4% AWAY 46.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.6% 2.84 DRAW 24.5% 3.90 AWAY 41.9% 2.27

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Warrington Rylands clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 46.3% win probability, compared with 41.9% implied by the market. The 4.3 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Warrington Rylands has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ilkeston Warrington Rylands

Shots 7.5 · On target 3.0 Shots 10.3 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Warrington Rylands, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ilkeston Warrington Rylands

Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.3

Warrington Rylands has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ilkeston Warrington Rylands

The combined recent performance profile favours Warrington Rylands.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Ilkeston ↓ -0.04 (-1.2%)

Warrington Rylands ↑ +0.21 (+10.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.