Maldon Tiptree FC vs Cray Wanderers

29 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.3 pp

Maldon Tiptree FC

Cray Wanderers

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 29.3% DRAW 21.5% AWAY 49.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.3% 2.95 DRAW 22.8% 4.18 AWAY 44.9% 2.12

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Cray Wanderers clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 49.2% win probability, compared with 44.9% implied by the market. The 4.3 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Cray Wanderers has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Maldon Tiptree FC Cray Wanderers

Shots 3.0 · On target 0.8 Shots 6.0 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Cray Wanderers, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Maldon Tiptree FC Cray Wanderers

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 1.5

Cray Wanderers has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Maldon Tiptree FC Cray Wanderers

The combined recent performance profile favours Cray Wanderers.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Maldon Tiptree FC ↓ -0.45 (-13.1%)

Cray Wanderers ↑ +0.32 (+17.9%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.