Dulwich vs Aveley

29 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Dulwich

Aveley

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.1% DRAW 22.0% AWAY 38.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.9% 2.44 DRAW 23.0% 4.14 AWAY 38.1% 2.49

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Aveley

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Dulwich Aveley

Shots 4.3 · On target 2.5 Shots 9.5 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Aveley, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Dulwich Aveley

Shots allowed 3.0 · On target allowed 1.0 Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 3.0

Dulwich has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Dulwich Aveley

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Dulwich ↑ +0.39 (+19.2%)

Aveley ↓ -0.38 (-13.4%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.