CA Bartolome Mitre vs San Martin Formosa

20 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

CA Bartolome Mitre

San Martin Formosa

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.5% DRAW 31.1% AWAY 38.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 29.7% 3.14 DRAW 30.6% 3.04 AWAY 39.6% 2.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: San Martin Formosa

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

CA Bartolome Mitre San Martin Formosa

Shots 6.5 · On target 3.0 Shots 10.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours San Martin Formosa, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CA Bartolome Mitre San Martin Formosa

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 16.8 · On target allowed 4.8

CA Bartolome Mitre has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CA Bartolome Mitre San Martin Formosa

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

CA Bartolome Mitre ↓ -0.18 (-5.4%)

San Martin Formosa ↑ +0.20 (+9.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.