Universitario de Sucre vs Club Tigres FC

20 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Universitario de Sucre

Club Tigres FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 59.4% DRAW 22.5% AWAY 18.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 57.2% 1.60 DRAW 23.5% 3.90 AWAY 19.3% 4.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Universitario de Sucre has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Universitario de Sucre Club Tigres FC

Shots 11.5 · On target 6.0 Shots 10.3 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Universitario de Sucre, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Universitario de Sucre Club Tigres FC

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.3

Universitario de Sucre has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Universitario de Sucre Club Tigres FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Universitario de Sucre.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Universitario de Sucre = (0.0%)

Club Tigres FC ↑ +0.42 (+9.6%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.