CA Independiente CBBA vs 10 de Noviembre WC

20 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

CA Independiente CBBA

10 de Noviembre WC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 60.0% DRAW 22.3% AWAY 17.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 59.8% 1.60 DRAW 22.8% 4.20 AWAY 17.4% 5.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CA Independiente CBBA

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

CA Independiente CBBA 10 de Noviembre WC

Shots 15.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 9.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours CA Independiente CBBA, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CA Independiente CBBA 10 de Noviembre WC

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 1.8

10 de Noviembre WC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CA Independiente CBBA 10 de Noviembre WC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

CA Independiente CBBA ↓ -0.27 (-14.4%)

10 de Noviembre WC ↑ +2.07 (+60.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.