Fiji vs Vanuatu

21 Sep 2026 · 09:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Fiji

Vanuatu

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.6% DRAW 25.1% AWAY 26.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.5% 1.97 DRAW 25.5% 3.74 AWAY 26.0% 3.68

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Vanuatu

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Fiji Vanuatu

Shots 1.5 · On target 1.5 Shots 3.0 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours Vanuatu, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Fiji Vanuatu

Shots allowed 1.5 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 2.0 · On target allowed 1.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Fiji Vanuatu

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Fiji ↓ -0.20 (-9.2%)

Vanuatu ↑ +0.52 (+16.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.