Spartax vs Auto Esporte

20 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Spartax

Auto Esporte

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 14.9% DRAW 25.9% AWAY 59.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 13.8% 6.69 DRAW 25.0% 3.70 AWAY 61.2% 1.51

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Spartax

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Spartax Auto Esporte

Shots 2.0 · On target 0.5 Shots 2.0 · On target 1.0

Recent attacking output favours Auto Esporte, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Spartax Auto Esporte

Shots allowed 1.5 · On target allowed 0.5 Shots allowed 2.8 · On target allowed 0.5

Spartax has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Spartax Auto Esporte

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Spartax ↑ +2.36 (+54.4%)

Auto Esporte ↓ -0.13 (-7.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.