Aizawl FC XI vs MLS FC Lawngtlai

25 Sep 2026 · 15:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Aizawl FC XI

MLS FC Lawngtlai

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 89.1% DRAW 8.0% AWAY 2.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 88.7% 1.06 DRAW 8.6% 11.00 AWAY 2.8% 34.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Aizawl FC XI

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Aizawl FC XI MLS FC Lawngtlai

Shots 11.5 · On target 4.8 Shots 11.5 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Aizawl FC XI MLS FC Lawngtlai

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Aizawl FC XI MLS FC Lawngtlai

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Aizawl FC XI = (0.0%)

MLS FC Lawngtlai ↑ +15.00 (+78.9%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.