Miramar Rangers vs Auckland FC II

03 Oct 2026 · 03:00

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE HOME +11.7 pp

Miramar Rangers

Auckland FC II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 69.3% DRAW 16.4% AWAY 14.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 57.6% 1.73 DRAW 20.1% 4.96 AWAY 22.3% 4.46

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Miramar Rangers substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 69.3% win probability, compared with 57.6% implied by the market. The 11.7 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Miramar Rangers has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Miramar Rangers Auckland FC II

Shots 22.8 · On target 11.3 Shots 15.8 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours Miramar Rangers, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Miramar Rangers Auckland FC II

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 22.3 · On target allowed 9.5

Miramar Rangers has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Miramar Rangers Auckland FC II

The combined recent performance profile favours Miramar Rangers.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Miramar Rangers ↑ +0.17 (+10.6%)

Auckland FC II ↓ -0.26 (-5.4%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.