Napier City Rovers vs Miramar Rangers

27 Sep 2026 · 01:30

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE AWAY +7.8 pp

Napier City Rovers

Miramar Rangers

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.1% DRAW 23.8% AWAY 39.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.3% 2.12 DRAW 24.4% 3.85 AWAY 31.3% 3.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Miramar Rangers substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 39.1% win probability, compared with 31.3% implied by the market. The 7.8 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Miramar Rangers has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Napier City Rovers Miramar Rangers

Shots 15.0 · On target 4.5 Shots 26.3 · On target 12.3

Recent attacking output favours Miramar Rangers, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Napier City Rovers Miramar Rangers

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 1.3

Miramar Rangers has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Napier City Rovers Miramar Rangers

The combined recent performance profile favours Miramar Rangers.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

No movement data

Napier City Rovers —

Miramar Rangers —

No stored odds movement is available for this match.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.