Sport Recife U20 vs Vitoria PE U20

30 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Sport Recife U20

Vitoria PE U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 60.0% DRAW 20.5% AWAY 19.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 59.6% 1.60 DRAW 21.4% 4.47 AWAY 19.1% 5.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Vitoria PE U20

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sport Recife U20 Vitoria PE U20

Shots 9.5 · On target 4.5 Shots 12.8 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours Vitoria PE U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sport Recife U20 Vitoria PE U20

Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 4.3

Sport Recife U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sport Recife U20 Vitoria PE U20

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Sport Recife U20 ↑ +0.07 (+4.4%)

Vitoria PE U20 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.