Toluca U19 vs Santos Laguna U19

20 Sep 2026 · 19:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Toluca U19

Santos Laguna U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.8% DRAW 21.9% AWAY 32.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.7% 2.00 DRAW 22.9% 4.00 AWAY 31.4% 2.91

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Santos Laguna U19

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Toluca U19 Santos Laguna U19

Shots 10.5 · On target 6.0 Shots 14.3 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output favours Santos Laguna U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Toluca U19 Santos Laguna U19

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Toluca U19 Santos Laguna U19

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Toluca U19 ↓ -0.02 (-1.0%)

Santos Laguna U19 ↑ +0.02 (+0.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.