Queretaro U19 vs Leon U19

20 Sep 2026 · 19:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Queretaro U19

Leon U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.8% DRAW 24.8% AWAY 37.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.6% 2.37 DRAW 25.4% 3.60 AWAY 35.9% 2.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Leon U19

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Queretaro U19 Leon U19

Shots 8.0 · On target 3.5 Shots 8.0 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Queretaro U19 Leon U19

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 2.8

Leon U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Queretaro U19 Leon U19

The combined recent performance profile favours Leon U19.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Queretaro U19 ↓ -0.08 (-3.3%)

Leon U19 ↑ +0.08 (+3.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.