Dreams vs Medeama SC

23 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.0 pp

Dreams

Medeama SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.8% DRAW 27.0% AWAY 20.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 56.8% 1.60 DRAW 26.0% 3.50 AWAY 17.2% 5.29

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Medeama SC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 20.2% win probability, compared with 17.2% implied by the market. The 3.0 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Medeama SC

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Dreams Medeama SC

Shots 10.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 17.8 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Medeama SC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Dreams Medeama SC

Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Dreams Medeama SC

The combined recent performance profile favours Medeama SC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Dreams ↓ -0.31 (-16.2%)

Medeama SC ↑ +1.29 (+32.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.