Dartford vs Whitehawk

29 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.6 pp

Dartford

Whitehawk

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 70.3% DRAW 16.4% AWAY 13.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 67.7% 1.42 DRAW 17.9% 5.36 AWAY 14.4% 6.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Dartford relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 70.3% win probability, compared with 67.7% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Dartford

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Dartford Whitehawk

Shots 9.5 · On target 4.8 Shots 2.3 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output favours Dartford, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Dartford Whitehawk

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 3.0 · On target allowed 1.8

Whitehawk has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Dartford Whitehawk

The combined recent performance profile favours Dartford.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Dartford ↑ +0.12 (+9.2%)

Whitehawk ↑ +0.50 (+8.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.