North Korea U20 (W) vs Colombia U20 (W)

23 Sep 2026 · 18:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.8 pp

North Korea U20 (W)

Colombia U20 (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 91.6% DRAW 6.8% AWAY 1.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 87.8% 1.09 DRAW 9.4% 10.20 AWAY 2.8% 34.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for North Korea U20 (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 91.6% win probability, compared with 87.8% implied by the market. The 3.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

North Korea U20 (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

North Korea U20 (W) Colombia U20 (W)

Shots 23.8 · On target 9.0 Shots 5.8 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours North Korea U20 (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

North Korea U20 (W) Colombia U20 (W)

Shots allowed 3.0 · On target allowed 0.8 Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 4.5

North Korea U20 (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

North Korea U20 (W) Colombia U20 (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours North Korea U20 (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

North Korea U20 (W) ↓ -0.07 (-6.0%)

Colombia U20 (W) ↑ +18.50 (+119.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.