Toin Yokohama University vs Aries Toshima FC

22 Sep 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Toin Yokohama University

Aries Toshima FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 28.2% DRAW 24.9% AWAY 46.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 29.0% 3.30 DRAW 25.5% 3.75 AWAY 45.5% 2.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Aries Toshima FC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Toin Yokohama University Aries Toshima FC

Shots 6.0 · On target 3.3 Shots 7.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Aries Toshima FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Toin Yokohama University Aries Toshima FC

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 3.8

Aries Toshima FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Toin Yokohama University Aries Toshima FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Aries Toshima FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Toin Yokohama University ↑ +0.60 (+22.2%)

Aries Toshima FC = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.