Encarnacion FC vs Resistencia FC

02 Oct 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.1 pp

Encarnacion FC

Resistencia FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.9% DRAW 24.3% AWAY 35.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.4% 2.25 DRAW 24.9% 3.83 AWAY 32.7% 2.91

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Resistencia FC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 35.8% win probability, compared with 32.7% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Resistencia FC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Encarnacion FC Resistencia FC

Shots 7.8 · On target 3.0 Shots 11.5 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Resistencia FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Encarnacion FC Resistencia FC

Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.3

Resistencia FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Encarnacion FC Resistencia FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Resistencia FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Encarnacion FC ↓ -0.07 (-3.1%)

Resistencia FC ↓ -0.07 (-2.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.