Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas vs San Martin Formosa

28 Sep 2026 · 00:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas

San Martin Formosa

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.4% DRAW 32.7% AWAY 28.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.2% 2.42 DRAW 32.2% 2.88 AWAY 29.6% 3.13

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas San Martin Formosa

Shots 12.5 · On target 4.5 Shots 12.0 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas San Martin Formosa

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas San Martin Formosa

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas ↑ +0.04 (+2.1%)

San Martin Formosa = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.