Tampereen Ilves 2 vs Huima/Urho

02 Oct 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.2 pp

Tampereen Ilves 2

Huima/Urho

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 64.8% DRAW 15.7% AWAY 19.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 67.5% 1.44 DRAW 16.2% 6.00 AWAY 16.3% 5.98

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Huima/Urho relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 19.5% win probability, compared with 16.3% implied by the market. The 3.2 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Huima/Urho

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tampereen Ilves 2 Huima/Urho

Shots 12.8 · On target 7.8 Shots 20.0 · On target 11.5

Recent attacking output favours Huima/Urho, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tampereen Ilves 2 Huima/Urho

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tampereen Ilves 2 Huima/Urho

The combined recent performance profile favours Huima/Urho.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Tampereen Ilves 2 ↓ -0.81 (-35.9%)

Huima/Urho ↑ +3.68 (+160.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.