Johvi FC Phoenix U19 vs FC Helios Tartu U19

22 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.8 pp

Johvi FC Phoenix U19

FC Helios Tartu U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.3% DRAW 17.0% AWAY 32.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.5% 1.91 DRAW 18.7% 4.75 AWAY 34.8% 2.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Johvi FC Phoenix U19 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 50.3% win probability, compared with 46.5% implied by the market. The 3.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FC Helios Tartu U19

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Johvi FC Phoenix U19 FC Helios Tartu U19

Shots 2.8 · On target 0.5 Shots 4.5 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours FC Helios Tartu U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Johvi FC Phoenix U19 FC Helios Tartu U19

Shots allowed 3.3 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 3.5

Johvi FC Phoenix U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Johvi FC Phoenix U19 FC Helios Tartu U19

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Johvi FC Phoenix U19 = (0.0%)

FC Helios Tartu U19 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.