Mawkhar SC vs Nongrim Hills

22 Sep 2026 · 08:45

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.9 pp

Mawkhar SC

Nongrim Hills

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.3% DRAW 21.6% AWAY 41.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.1% 2.32 DRAW 22.7% 4.00 AWAY 38.2% 2.38

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Nongrim Hills relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 41.1% win probability, compared with 38.2% implied by the market. The 2.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Nongrim Hills

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Mawkhar SC Nongrim Hills

Shots 3.8 · On target 0.8 Shots 2.3 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Mawkhar SC Nongrim Hills

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 1.0 · On target allowed 0.8

Nongrim Hills has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Mawkhar SC Nongrim Hills

The combined recent performance profile favours Nongrim Hills.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Mawkhar SC ↑ +0.02 (+0.9%)

Nongrim Hills = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.