Nong Bua Pitchaya U21 vs Chainat Hornbill U21

22 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Nong Bua Pitchaya U21

Chainat Hornbill U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 62.1% DRAW 20.3% AWAY 17.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 60.5% 1.53 DRAW 21.4% 4.33 AWAY 18.1% 5.11

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Nong Bua Pitchaya U21

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Nong Bua Pitchaya U21 Chainat Hornbill U21

Shots 5.3 · On target 2.5 Shots 1.5 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours Nong Bua Pitchaya U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Nong Bua Pitchaya U21 Chainat Hornbill U21

Shots allowed 1.0 · On target allowed 0.0 Shots allowed 0.3 · On target allowed 0.0

Chainat Hornbill U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Nong Bua Pitchaya U21 Chainat Hornbill U21

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Nong Bua Pitchaya U21 = (0.0%)

Chainat Hornbill U21 ↑ +0.78 (+17.9%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.