Athens Kallithea vs Asteras Tripolis B

28 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Athens Kallithea

Asteras Tripolis B

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 54.1% DRAW 27.7% AWAY 18.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.8% 1.70 DRAW 27.4% 3.40 AWAY 17.8% 5.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Athens Kallithea

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Athens Kallithea Asteras Tripolis B

Shots 9.3 · On target 2.5 Shots 5.5 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours Athens Kallithea, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Athens Kallithea Asteras Tripolis B

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 2.3

Asteras Tripolis B has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Athens Kallithea Asteras Tripolis B

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Athens Kallithea ↑ +0.07 (+4.6%)

Asteras Tripolis B = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.