Adamas United SA vs Rajasthan FA

22 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.8 pp

Adamas United SA

Rajasthan FA

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 66.0% DRAW 20.7% AWAY 13.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 61.1% 1.50 DRAW 22.6% 4.05 AWAY 16.2% 5.66

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Adamas United SA clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 66.0% win probability, compared with 61.1% implied by the market. The 4.8 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Adamas United SA has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Adamas United SA Rajasthan FA

Shots 11.5 · On target 5.3 Shots 7.3 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Adamas United SA, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Adamas United SA Rajasthan FA

Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 5.8

Adamas United SA has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Adamas United SA Rajasthan FA

The combined recent performance profile favours Adamas United SA.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Adamas United SA = (0.0%)

Rajasthan FA ↑ +0.66 (+13.2%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.