Villa San Carlos Reserves vs Deportivo Laferrere Reserves

28 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Villa San Carlos Reserves

Deportivo Laferrere Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 56.9% DRAW 24.0% AWAY 19.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 56.3% 1.57 DRAW 24.5% 3.60 AWAY 19.2% 4.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Villa San Carlos Reserves has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Villa San Carlos Reserves Deportivo Laferrere Reserves

Shots 6.8 · On target 2.5 Shots 6.3 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Villa San Carlos Reserves Deportivo Laferrere Reserves

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Villa San Carlos Reserves Deportivo Laferrere Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Villa San Carlos Reserves = (0.0%)

Deportivo Laferrere Reserves = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.