Juventud Unida San Miguel Reserves vs Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves

22 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.5 pp

Juventud Unida San Miguel Reserves

Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 17.9% DRAW 18.3% AWAY 63.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 19.8% 4.50 DRAW 19.8% 4.50 AWAY 60.3% 1.48

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 63.8% win probability, compared with 60.3% implied by the market. The 3.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Juventud Unida San Miguel Reserves Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves

Shots 7.3 · On target 2.8 Shots 8.8 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Juventud Unida San Miguel Reserves Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves

Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.0

Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Juventud Unida San Miguel Reserves Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Juventud Unida San Miguel Reserves = (0.0%)

Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.