Ningbo Professional U20 vs Jiangxi Lushan U20

22 Sep 2026 · 09:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.5 pp

Ningbo Professional U20

Jiangxi Lushan U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.8% DRAW 25.3% AWAY 36.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.8% 2.28 DRAW 25.8% 3.52 AWAY 34.4% 2.64

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Jiangxi Lushan U20 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 36.9% win probability, compared with 34.4% implied by the market. The 2.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Jiangxi Lushan U20 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ningbo Professional U20 Jiangxi Lushan U20

Shots 6.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 11.0 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Jiangxi Lushan U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ningbo Professional U20 Jiangxi Lushan U20

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.5

Jiangxi Lushan U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ningbo Professional U20 Jiangxi Lushan U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Jiangxi Lushan U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Ningbo Professional U20 ↑ +0.01 (+0.4%)

Jiangxi Lushan U20 ↓ -0.05 (-1.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.