Wenzhou Yincai U20 vs Nantong Zhiyun U20

22 Sep 2026 · 09:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Wenzhou Yincai U20

Nantong Zhiyun U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 8.0% DRAW 16.2% AWAY 75.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 8.5% 11.00 DRAW 16.9% 5.50 AWAY 74.6% 1.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Nantong Zhiyun U20 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Wenzhou Yincai U20 Nantong Zhiyun U20

Shots 5.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 7.5 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Nantong Zhiyun U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Wenzhou Yincai U20 Nantong Zhiyun U20

Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 9.3 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 6.3

Nantong Zhiyun U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Wenzhou Yincai U20 Nantong Zhiyun U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Nantong Zhiyun U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Wenzhou Yincai U20 ↑ +1.05 (+10.6%)

Nantong Zhiyun U20 = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.