Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic U20 vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC U20

22 Sep 2026 · 09:30

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.6 pp

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic U20

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.6% DRAW 22.0% AWAY 27.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 55.0% 1.67 DRAW 22.1% 4.15 AWAY 22.9% 4.01

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC U20 clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 27.5% win probability, compared with 22.9% implied by the market. The 4.6 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic U20

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic U20 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC U20

Shots 11.0 · On target 5.5 Shots 8.3 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic U20 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC U20

Shots allowed 20.8 · On target allowed 13.0 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 5.8

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic U20 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic U20 ↓ -0.05 (-3.1%)

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC U20 ↑ +0.29 (+7.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.