FK Fratria vs Spartak Pleven

27 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

FK Fratria

Spartak Pleven

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 70.9% DRAW 20.0% AWAY 9.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 70.6% 1.33 DRAW 20.2% 4.66 AWAY 9.1% 10.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: FK Fratria

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Fratria Spartak Pleven

Shots 11.0 · On target 4.3 Shots 9.5 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Fratria Spartak Pleven

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 6.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Fratria Spartak Pleven

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FK Fratria ↑ +0.06 (+5.0%)

Spartak Pleven ↑ +1.80 (+21.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.