Ludogorets Razgrad II vs Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

27 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.6 pp

Ludogorets Razgrad II

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.0% DRAW 26.9% AWAY 30.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.4% 2.30 DRAW 27.3% 3.40 AWAY 32.3% 2.88

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Ludogorets Razgrad II relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 43.0% win probability, compared with 40.4% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ludogorets Razgrad II Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

Shots 10.8 · On target 2.3 Shots 12.0 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ludogorets Razgrad II Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 17.0 · On target allowed 6.3

Ludogorets Razgrad II has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ludogorets Razgrad II Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Ludogorets Razgrad II ↑ +0.20 (+9.5%)

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo ↑ +0.01 (+0.2%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.