Al Fahad vs Peshmerga Sulaymaniya SC

22 Sep 2026 · 14:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Al Fahad

Peshmerga Sulaymaniya SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.7% DRAW 31.7% AWAY 33.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.7% 2.45 DRAW 31.2% 2.88 AWAY 32.1% 2.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Al Fahad

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Fahad Peshmerga Sulaymaniya SC

Shots 10.5 · On target 3.0 Shots 8.3 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Al Fahad, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Fahad Peshmerga Sulaymaniya SC

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 1.5

Peshmerga Sulaymaniya SC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Fahad Peshmerga Sulaymaniya SC

The combined recent performance profile favours Peshmerga Sulaymaniya SC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Al Fahad = (0.0%)

Peshmerga Sulaymaniya SC = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.