Uganda U20 vs Sudan U20

22 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Uganda U20

Sudan U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.3% DRAW 26.0% AWAY 22.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.2% 1.70 DRAW 25.9% 3.50 AWAY 20.9% 4.33

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Sudan U20

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Uganda U20 Sudan U20

Shots 2.3 · On target 1.0 Shots 8.5 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Sudan U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Uganda U20 Sudan U20

Shots allowed 2.0 · On target allowed 0.8 Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 1.8

Uganda U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Uganda U20 Sudan U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Sudan U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Uganda U20 = (0.0%)

Sudan U20 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.