CD Lara vs Real Frontera

01 Oct 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

CD Lara

Real Frontera

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 85.1% DRAW 10.0% AWAY 4.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 83.6% 1.14 DRAW 11.2% 8.50 AWAY 5.2% 18.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

CD Lara has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD Lara Real Frontera

Shots 7.8 · On target 4.3 Shots 7.0 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours CD Lara, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD Lara Real Frontera

Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 16.3 · On target allowed 7.3

CD Lara has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD Lara Real Frontera

The combined recent performance profile favours CD Lara.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

No movement data

CD Lara —

Real Frontera —

No stored odds movement is available for this match.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.