Real Frontera vs Yaracuyanos

26 Sep 2026 · 21:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Real Frontera

Yaracuyanos

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 19.1% DRAW 27.0% AWAY 53.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 19.5% 4.68 DRAW 26.9% 3.38 AWAY 53.6% 1.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Yaracuyanos

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Real Frontera Yaracuyanos

Shots 9.3 · On target 4.0 Shots 9.8 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Real Frontera Yaracuyanos

Shots allowed 15.8 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 6.3

Yaracuyanos has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Real Frontera Yaracuyanos

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Real Frontera ↑ +0.58 (+14.0%)

Yaracuyanos = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.