MEG vs SC Bengaluru

22 Sep 2026 · 12:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.1 pp

MEG

SC Bengaluru

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.6% DRAW 24.8% AWAY 39.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.5% 2.80 DRAW 25.3% 3.60 AWAY 42.3% 2.15

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for MEG relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 35.6% win probability, compared with 32.5% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: MEG

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

MEG SC Bengaluru

Shots 7.3 · On target 4.5 Shots 8.5 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours MEG, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

MEG SC Bengaluru

Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.5

MEG has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

MEG SC Bengaluru

The combined recent performance profile favours MEG.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

MEG = (0.0%)

SC Bengaluru ↑ +0.05 (+2.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.