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Brazil Campeonato Alagoano U20 · BR

CSE U20 vs CSA U20

27 Sep 2026 · 20:00
SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.8 pp
CSE U20
CSA U20
HOME 26.8% DRAW 25.6% AWAY 47.6%
HOME 29.8% 3.10 DRAW 26.4% 3.50 AWAY 43.8% 2.11

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for CSA U20 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 47.6% win probability, compared with 43.8% implied by the market. The 3.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

CSA U20 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
CSE U20 CSA U20
Shots 10.5 · On target 4.8 Shots 16.5 · On target 7.5

Recent attacking output favours CSA U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
CSE U20 CSA U20
Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 3.8 · On target allowed 1.5

CSA U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
CSE U20 CSA U20

The combined recent performance profile favours CSA U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

CSE U20 ↑ +0.10 (+3.3%)
CSA U20 ↑ +0.11 (+5.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.