Banfield (W) vs Newell's Old Boys (W)

26 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Banfield (W)

Newell's Old Boys (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 62.2% DRAW 23.7% AWAY 14.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 61.5% 1.55 DRAW 24.1% 3.96 AWAY 14.5% 6.59

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Banfield (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Banfield (W) Newell's Old Boys (W)

Shots 7.5 · On target 3.3 Shots 5.3 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Banfield (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Banfield (W) Newell's Old Boys (W)

Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 6.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Banfield (W) Newell's Old Boys (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Banfield (W) = (0.0%)

Newell's Old Boys (W) ↑ +1.19 (+22.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.