Central Ballester Reserves vs CA Claypole Reserves

22 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.8 pp

Central Ballester Reserves

CA Claypole Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 11.8% DRAW 16.5% AWAY 71.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 13.2% 7.50 DRAW 18.0% 5.50 AWAY 68.8% 1.44

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for CA Claypole Reserves relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 71.6% win probability, compared with 68.8% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

CA Claypole Reserves has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Central Ballester Reserves CA Claypole Reserves

Shots 5.0 · On target 1.8 Shots 7.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours CA Claypole Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Central Ballester Reserves CA Claypole Reserves

Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 3.0

CA Claypole Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Central Ballester Reserves CA Claypole Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours CA Claypole Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Central Ballester Reserves = (0.0%)

CA Claypole Reserves ↑ +0.19 (+15.2%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.