Yamoussoukro FC vs ASEC Mimosas

26 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Yamoussoukro FC

ASEC Mimosas

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 15.8% DRAW 24.6% AWAY 59.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 15.2% 6.00 DRAW 24.2% 3.75 AWAY 60.6% 1.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: ASEC Mimosas

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Yamoussoukro FC ASEC Mimosas

Shots 1.3 · On target 0.3 Shots 4.8 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours ASEC Mimosas, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Yamoussoukro FC ASEC Mimosas

Shots allowed 2.5 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 2.0

Yamoussoukro FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Yamoussoukro FC ASEC Mimosas

The combined recent performance profile favours ASEC Mimosas.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Yamoussoukro FC ↑ +0.50 (+9.1%)

ASEC Mimosas = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.