NK Rudar Velenje vs ND Dravinja

28 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

NK Rudar Velenje

ND Dravinja

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 59.9% DRAW 23.8% AWAY 16.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 59.6% 1.62 DRAW 24.1% 4.00 AWAY 16.3% 5.93

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: NK Rudar Velenje

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

NK Rudar Velenje ND Dravinja

Shots 12.0 · On target 5.0 Shots 9.3 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours NK Rudar Velenje, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

NK Rudar Velenje ND Dravinja

Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 6.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

NK Rudar Velenje ND Dravinja

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

NK Rudar Velenje ↑ +0.12 (+8.0%)

ND Dravinja ↑ +0.40 (+7.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.