South Korea (W) vs Uzbekistan (W)

25 Sep 2026 · 12:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

South Korea (W)

Uzbekistan (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 89.7% DRAW 7.2% AWAY 3.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 87.8% 1.07 DRAW 8.6% 11.00 AWAY 3.6% 26.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

South Korea (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

South Korea (W) Uzbekistan (W)

Shots 17.3 · On target 8.3 Shots 14.8 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours South Korea (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

South Korea (W) Uzbekistan (W)

Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 4.8

South Korea (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

South Korea (W) Uzbekistan (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours South Korea (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

South Korea (W) ↑ +0.03 (+3.0%)

Uzbekistan (W) ↓ -64.00 (-71.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.