Hapoel Azor vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda

23 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.1 pp

Hapoel Azor

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.9% DRAW 27.5% AWAY 26.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.8% 2.16 DRAW 28.0% 3.30 AWAY 29.2% 3.17

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Hapoel Azor relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 45.9% win probability, compared with 42.8% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Hapoel Azor has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hapoel Azor Hapoel Mahane Yehuda

Shots 10.3 · On target 3.0 Shots 6.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Hapoel Azor, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hapoel Azor Hapoel Mahane Yehuda

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hapoel Azor Hapoel Mahane Yehuda

The combined recent performance profile favours Hapoel Azor.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Hapoel Azor ↑ +0.16 (+8.0%)

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda ↓ -0.03 (-0.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.