Tzeirey Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

23 Sep 2026 · 19:20

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Tzeirey Umm al-Fahm

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 26.4% DRAW 24.0% AWAY 49.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 25.8% 3.70 DRAW 24.5% 3.90 AWAY 49.7% 1.93

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tzeirey Umm al-Fahm Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

Shots 3.8 · On target 1.0 Shots 9.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Hapoel Umm al-Fahm, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tzeirey Umm al-Fahm Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

Shots allowed 2.5 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.3

Tzeirey Umm al-Fahm has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tzeirey Umm al-Fahm Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Tzeirey Umm al-Fahm ↑ +1.45 (+64.4%)

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm ↓ -0.63 (-24.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.