MS Hapoel Lod vs Beitar Tel Aviv Holon

23 Sep 2026 · 20:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

MS Hapoel Lod

Beitar Tel Aviv Holon

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 56.6% DRAW 22.4% AWAY 20.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.9% 1.66 DRAW 23.4% 3.90 AWAY 21.7% 4.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: MS Hapoel Lod

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

MS Hapoel Lod Beitar Tel Aviv Holon

Shots 3.3 · On target 2.3 Shots 1.5 · On target 0.5

Recent attacking output favours MS Hapoel Lod, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

MS Hapoel Lod Beitar Tel Aviv Holon

Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 1.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

MS Hapoel Lod Beitar Tel Aviv Holon

The combined recent performance profile favours MS Hapoel Lod.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

MS Hapoel Lod ↑ +0.01 (+0.6%)

Beitar Tel Aviv Holon ↑ +0.30 (+7.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.